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NFC West Race
2026 season · 10,000 simulations
Updated Thu, Nov 12 · 11:46 PM ET
The Race How this works
| Team | Division | Wild Card | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 49ers7-1 · 3-0 div | 72% | 19% | 91% |
 Seahawks5-4 · 2-1 div | 19% | 42% | 60% |
 Rams5-4 · 0-2 div | 9% | 34% | 43% |
Under 1%: Cardinals.
Games That Decide It How this works
The games left whose results move the race most, and each contender's chance either way.
- 1Seahawks at 49ersSun, Nov 29 · SEA 51%
Division Chance If SEA Wins If SF Wins 49ers 54% 93% Seahawks 34% 2% Rams 12% 5% - 2Rams at 49ersSun, Dec 13 · SF 53%
Division Chance If LAR Wins If SF Wins 49ers 55% 88% Rams 18% 1% Seahawks 27% 12% - 349ers at CardinalsSun, Jan 10 · SF 65%
Division Chance If SF Wins If ARI Wins 49ers 81% 51% Seahawks 13% 32% Rams 6% 16% - 4Vikings vs 49ersSun, Nov 22 · SF 67%
Division Chance If MIN Wins If SF Wins 49ers 59% 83% Seahawks 27% 11% Rams 13% 6% - 5Seahawks at RamsSun, Jan 10 · SEA 53%
Division Chance If SEA Wins If LAR Wins Seahawks 30% 7% Rams 2% 17% 49ers 69% 76% - 649ers at ChiefsSun, Dec 27 · SF 51%
Division Chance If SF Wins If KC Wins 49ers 83% 61% Seahawks 12% 26% Rams 5% 13%