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Panthers at Eagles

Week 6 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 26 · 11:39 AM ET

Panthers2-2 going in
25–14Final
Eagles2-3 going in

Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA

The Call How this works

GordStats had it a coin flip, the book had Panthers by 3 — 2.9 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

On the total, GordStats said 44 to the book's 39.5: a lean to the Over✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

CAR 50%win chancePHI 50%
GordStatsCoin flip50% to win · CAR 23–PHI 21
BookCAR -3O/U 39.5
Assumed outJalen HurtsEagles quarterback

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Panthers' big-play defense (7th) meets Eagles' big-play offense (31st).
  • Panthers' ball security (15th) meets Eagles' takeaway defense (31st).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense

CAR offPHI def
EPA per play
13th+0.0419th+0.03
Pass EPA
17th+0.0822nd+0.12
Run EPA
11th-0.0416th-0.09
Success rate
16th43%14th43%
Explosive plays
8th9%13th8%
Points per drive
9th2.3415th2.08
Red zone TD
11th65%15th59%
Third downs
12th41%13th39%
Sacks
20th7%31st3%
Turnovers
15th9%31st5%

Panthers: 28.4 sec a snap (1st fastest) · passes 10% more than expected

Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense

PHI offCAR def
EPA per play
27th-0.0821st+0.04
Pass EPA
25th-0.0119th+0.08
Run EPA
28th-0.2018th-0.07
Success rate
30th37%18th44%
Explosive plays
31st4%7th7%
Points per drive
30th1.6824th2.38
Red zone TD
5th69%29th76%
Third downs
26th37%24th44%
Sacks
21st7%23rd5%
Turnovers
11th8%25th9%

Eagles: 31.2 sec a snap (9th fastest) · passes 2% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Panthers

  • QBBryce Young+0.09 EPA a dropback · CPOE +1.5 · 234 dropbacks · 17th of 34
  • RBChuba Hubbard+0.08 EPA a carry · 4.8 yds · 85 carries · 6th in EPA
  • WRTetairoa McMillan+0.42 EPA a target · 68% caught · 50 targets · 37th in EPA
  • TEDarren Waller+0.45 EPA a target · 64% caught · 22 targets · 31st in EPA

Eagles

  • RBSaquon Barkley+0.00 EPA a carry · 5.1 yds · 36 carries · 14th in EPA
  • WRDontayvion Wicks+0.53 EPA a target · 61% caught · 31 targets · 24th in EPA
  • TEDallas Goedert+0.48 EPA a target · 71% caught · 24 targets · 28th in EPA

Recent Form

Panthers

  • W32–26vs Lions+9
  • L18–21at Browns−4
  • W34–3at Falcons+36
  • L37–59vs Bears—

Eagles

  • L17–19vs Jaguars+3
  • L20–24vs Rams−3
  • L7–27at Bears−19
  • W24–20at Titans−3

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.