Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.

Sign inWhat you get

Browns at Jets

Week 5 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 19 · 5:37 AM ET

Browns3-1 going in
12–17Final
Jets1-3 going in

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ

The Call How this works

GordStats had it a coin flip, the book had Jets by 2.5 — 2.6 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

On the total, GordStats said 42 to the book's 38.5: a lean to the Over✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

CLE 50%win chanceNYJ 50%
GordStatsCoin flip50% to win · CLE 22–NYJ 20
BookNYJ -2.5O/U 38.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Browns' red-zone defense (5th) meets Jets' red-zone offense (32nd).
  • Jets' pass rush (6th) meets Browns' pass protection (32nd).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Browns Offense vs Jets Defense

CLE offNYJ def
EPA per play
25th-0.087th-0.06
Pass EPA
22nd+0.0118th+0.06
Run EPA
29th-0.274th-0.20
Success rate
24th40%21st44%
Explosive plays
28th6%17th8%
Points per drive
28th1.6614th2.00
Red zone TD
29th46%10th50%
Third downs
32nd31%12th38%
Sacks
32nd11%6th8%
Turnovers
14th9%14th11%

Browns: 30.5 sec a snap (6th fastest) · passes 5% more than expected

Jets Offense vs Browns Defense

NYJ offCLE def
EPA per play
23rd-0.0512th-0.04
Pass EPA
20th+0.0411th+0.00
Run EPA
23rd-0.1618th-0.08
Success rate
15th44%12th42%
Explosive plays
17th8%32nd11%
Points per drive
25th1.819th1.85
Red zone TD
32nd40%5th47%
Third downs
25th36%15th40%
Sacks
30th9%5th8%
Turnovers
8th6%18th11%

Jets: 33.9 sec a snap (29th fastest) · passes 3% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Browns

  • QBDeshaun Watson-0.01 EPA a dropback · CPOE -3.5 · 212 dropbacks · 22nd of 33
  • RBQuinshon Judkins-0.27 EPA a carry · 3.0 yds · 64 carries · 39th in EPA

Jets

  • QBGeno Smith+0.04 EPA a dropback · CPOE +3.9 · 194 dropbacks · 17th of 33
  • RBBraelon Allen-0.04 EPA a carry · 4.4 yds · 70 carries · 20th in EPA
  • WRGarrett Wilson+0.53 EPA a target · 74% caught · 46 targets · 24th in EPA

Recent Form

Browns

  • W27-24vs Steelers+4
  • W21-18vs Panthers+4
  • W23-19at Buccaneers+10
  • L10-34at Jaguars—

Jets

  • L12-23at Bears−1
  • L24-31at Lions+2
  • L17-20vs Packers+1
  • W23-10at Titans—

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.