Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.

Sign inWhat you get

Chiefs at Raiders

Week 4 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 12 · 5:44 AM ET

Chiefs3-0 going in
30–27Final
Raiders3-0 going in

Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · CBS

Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV

Indoors

The Call How this works

GordStats had Chiefs by 4.1✓, the book by 4.5 — they agree, no lean.

On the total, GordStats said 43 to the book's 47.5: a lean to the Under✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

KC 62%win chanceLV 38%
GordStatsKC by 4.162% to win · KC 24–LV 19
BookKC -4.5O/U 47.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Raiders' pass protection (6th) meets Chiefs' pass rush (31st).
  • Chiefs' big-play offense (3rd) meets Raiders' big-play defense (27th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Chiefs Offense vs Raiders Defense

KC offLV def
EPA per play
3rd+0.1625th+0.07
Pass EPA
8th+0.1927th+0.20
Run EPA
1st+0.138th-0.18
Success rate
6th48%27th47%
Explosive plays
3rd11%27th10%
Points per drive
5th2.7422nd2.26
Red zone TD
13th63%28th74%
Third downs
8th45%23rd43%
Sacks
5th4%10th7%
Turnovers
4th5%1st18%

Chiefs: 31.3 sec a snap (13th fastest) · passes 3% more than expected

Raiders Offense vs Chiefs Defense

LV offKC def
EPA per play
12th+0.0519th+0.01
Pass EPA
4th+0.2218th+0.07
Run EPA
25th-0.2011th-0.14
Success rate
15th44%10th41%
Explosive plays
20th7%12th8%
Points per drive
10th2.417th1.88
Red zone TD
18th58%6th50%
Third downs
14th41%11th37%
Sacks
6th4%31st3%
Turnovers
13th9%7th15%

Raiders: 32.8 sec a snap (23rd fastest) · passes 0% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Chiefs

  • QBPatrick Mahomes+0.19 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.0 · 137 dropbacks · 9th of 31
  • RBKenneth Walker III+0.11 EPA a carry · 6.2 yds · 83 carries · 4th in EPA
  • TETravis Kelce+0.74 EPA a target · 71% caught · 21 targets · 12th in EPA
  • WRTyquan Thornton+1.27 EPA a target · 73% caught · 15 targets · 1st in EPA

Raiders

  • QBKirk Cousins+0.21 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.4 · 165 dropbacks · 8th of 31
  • RBAshton Jeanty-0.24 EPA a carry · 3.5 yds · 74 carries · 36th in EPA
  • TEBrock Bowers+0.43 EPA a target · 70% caught · 33 targets · 39th in EPA

Recent Form

Chiefs

  • W24-10at Dolphins+9
  • W33-30vs Colts−2
  • W31-10vs Broncos—

Raiders

  • W35-27at Saints+12
  • W26-14at Chargers+18
  • W27-13vs Dolphins—

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.