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Ravens vs Cowboys

Week 3 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 5 · 9:46 PM ET

Ravens1-1 going in
34–31Final
Cowboys1-1 going in

Sun, Sep 27 · 4:25 PM ET · CBS

Neutral site · Maracanã Stadium · Rio De Janeiro, Brazil

The Call How this works

GordStats had Ravens by 4.4✓, the book by 3 — they agree, no lean.

BAL 63%win chanceDAL 37%
GordStatsBAL by 4.463% to win · BAL 28–DAL 24
BookBAL -3O/U 53.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Ravens' passing game (5th) meets Cowboys' pass defense (32nd).
  • Cowboys' scoring offense (1st) meets Ravens' scoring defense (22nd).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Ravens Offense vs Cowboys Defense

BAL offDAL def
EPA per play
6th+0.1332nd+0.21
Pass EPA
5th+0.2632nd+0.40
Run EPA
7th-0.0316th-0.08
Success rate
3rd49%30th50%
Explosive plays
3rd11%29th11%
Points per drive
8th2.6431st2.87
Red zone TD
7th73%25th71%
Third downs
26th33%32nd55%
Sacks
17th6%29th3%
Turnovers
6th5%29th5%

Ravens: 34.7 sec a snap (31st fastest) · passes 6% less than expected

Cowboys Offense vs Ravens Defense

DAL offBAL def
EPA per play
3rd+0.1911th-0.03
Pass EPA
2nd+0.306th+0.00
Run EPA
12th-0.0623rd-0.04
Success rate
4th49%10th42%
Explosive plays
31st5%17th8%
Points per drive
1st3.3922nd2.29
Red zone TD
5th76%18th62%
Third downs
5th51%12th38%
Sacks
6th4%24th5%
Turnovers
9th6%13th12%

Cowboys: 31.2 sec a snap (9th fastest) · passes 3% more than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Ravens

  • QBLamar Jackson+0.32 EPA a dropback · CPOE +7.2 · 108 dropbacks · 3rd of 32
  • RBDerrick Henry-0.06 EPA a carry · 4.2 yds · 70 carries · 24th in EPA
  • WRZay Flowers+1.09 EPA a target · 82% caught · 22 targets · 4th in EPA
  • WRRashod Bateman+0.64 EPA a target · 71% caught · 14 targets · 18th in EPA

Cowboys

  • QBDak Prescott+0.27 EPA a dropback · CPOE +5.1 · 153 dropbacks · 5th of 32
  • RBJavonte Williams+0.01 EPA a carry · 3.7 yds · 58 carries · 15th in EPA
  • WRCeeDee Lamb+0.91 EPA a target · 85% caught · 40 targets · 8th in EPA

Recent Form

Ravens

  • L17-24vs Saints−15
  • W41-23at Colts—

Cowboys

  • W37-20vs Commanders+15
  • L20-28at Giants—

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.