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Cowboys at Eagles

Week 7 · Final

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Cowboys2-4 going in
38–21Final
Eagles2-4 going in

Mon, Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN, ABC, Disney+

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA

The Call How this works

GordStats had Cowboys by 1.3✓, the book by 4.5: a lean to Eagles +4.5✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

DAL 54%win chancePHI 46%
GordStatsDAL by 1.354% to win · DAL 24–PHI 23
BookDAL -4.5O/U 44.5
Assumed outJalen HurtsEagles quarterback

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Cowboys' pass protection (2nd) meets Eagles' pass rush (32nd).
  • Eagles' red-zone offense (3rd) meets Cowboys' red-zone defense (27th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense

DAL offPHI def
EPA per play
6th+0.1121st+0.06
Pass EPA
9th+0.1924th+0.15
Run EPA
9th-0.0423rd-0.05
Success rate
6th48%20th44%
Explosive plays
30th6%20th9%
Points per drive
3rd2.8423rd2.35
Red zone TD
8th68%15th60%
Third downs
4th48%18th41%
Sacks
2nd3%32nd3%
Turnovers
10th8%32nd5%

Cowboys: 30.4 sec a snap (4th fastest) · passes 0% more than expected

Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense

PHI offDAL def
EPA per play
24th-0.0631st+0.17
Pass EPA
23rd-0.0129th+0.23
Run EPA
21st-0.1332nd+0.02
Success rate
30th38%26th46%
Explosive plays
32nd4%28th10%
Points per drive
30th1.6329th2.63
Red zone TD
3rd71%27th70%
Third downs
26th37%31st52%
Sacks
22nd7%26th5%
Turnovers
14th10%30th7%

Eagles: 32.0 sec a snap (16th fastest) · passes 4% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Cowboys

  • QBDak Prescott+0.15 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.1 · 286 dropbacks · 12th of 32
  • RBJavonte Williams+0.00 EPA a carry · 4.0 yds · 120 carries · 13th in EPA
  • WRCeeDee Lamb+0.40 EPA a target · 68% caught · 80 targets · 38th in EPA
  • WRGeorge Pickens+0.39 EPA a target · 63% caught · 52 targets · 39th in EPA

Eagles

  • RBSaquon Barkley+0.02 EPA a carry · 4.9 yds · 56 carries · 9th in EPA
  • WRDontayvion Wicks+0.53 EPA a target · 61% caught · 31 targets · 21st in EPA

Recent Form

Cowboys

  • L13–23at Packers−6
  • L16–24vs Buccaneers−15
  • W34–30at Texans+9
  • L31–34vs Ravens+1

Eagles

  • L14–25vs Panthers−11
  • L17–19vs Jaguars+3
  • L20–24vs Rams−3
  • L7–27at Bears−19

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.