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Giants at Texans

Week 7 · Final

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Giants3-2-1 going in
27–21Final/OT
Texans2-4 going in

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET · Fox

Reliant Stadium · Houston, TX

Indoors

The Call How this works

GordStats had Texans by 10.8✗, the book by 10 — 0.8 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

NYG 21%win chanceHOU 79%
GordStatsHOU by 10.879% to win · NYG 17–HOU 27
BookHOU -10O/U 42.5
Assumed outJameis WinstonGiants quarterback

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Texans' pass rush (5th) meets Giants' pass protection (25th).
  • Texans' pass protection (12th) meets Giants' pass rush (30th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Giants Offense vs Texans Defense

NYG offHOU def
EPA per play
17th+0.0123rd+0.06
Pass EPA
13th+0.1325th+0.15
Run EPA
20th-0.1327th-0.03
Success rate
20th42%10th42%
Explosive plays
22nd7%30th10%
Points per drive
17th2.0720th2.33
Red zone TD
9th67%26th68%
Third downs
9th43%17th41%
Sacks
25th8%5th8%
Turnovers
21st13%28th8%

Giants: 33.1 sec a snap (24th fastest) · passes 7% less than expected

Texans Offense vs Giants Defense

HOU offNYG def
EPA per play
11th+0.0516th+0.01
Pass EPA
10th+0.1814th+0.05
Run EPA
26th-0.1621st-0.06
Success rate
12th45%15th43%
Explosive plays
15th8%19th9%
Points per drive
10th2.2615th2.09
Red zone TD
16th58%29th78%
Third downs
24th38%16th40%
Sacks
12th6%30th4%
Turnovers
2nd4%18th10%

Texans: 31.5 sec a snap (10th fastest) · passes 0% more than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Giants

  • RBCam Skattebo-0.12 EPA a carry · 4.2 yds · 92 carries · 25th in EPA
  • WRMalachi Fields+0.63 EPA a target · 64% caught · 22 targets · 13th in EPA

Texans

  • QBC.J. Stroud+0.19 EPA a dropback · CPOE +2.2 · 242 dropbacks · 8th of 32
  • RBWoody Marks-0.17 EPA a carry · 3.5 yds · 73 carries · 30th in EPA
  • WRNico Collins+0.57 EPA a target · 69% caught · 35 targets · 17th in EPA
  • WRJaylin Noel+0.64 EPA a target · 81% caught · 21 targets · 11th in EPA

Recent Form

Giants

  • L27–34vs Saints−6
  • T27–27at Commanders+4
  • W36–24vs Cardinals+10
  • W12–7vs Titans0

Texans

  • W34–31vs Jaguars+6
  • W26–3at Titans+17
  • L30–34vs Cowboys−9
  • L17–19at Colts−3

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.