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Titans at Bengals
Week 8 · Final
Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET
Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS
Paycor Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
Win Probability How this works
Loading ESPN’s win probability…
The Call How this works
GordStats had Bengals by 9.6✓, the book by 13.5: a lean to Titans +13.5✓.
A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.
TEN 23%win chanceCIN 77%
GordStatsCIN by 9.677% to win · TEN 18–CIN 28
BookCIN -13.5O/U 45.5
Unit vs Unit How this works
- Bengals' offense (2nd) meets Titans' defense (27th).
- Bengals' red-zone defense (4th) meets Titans' red-zone offense (25th).
League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.
Titans Offense vs Bengals Defense
TEN offCIN def
EPA per play
28th-0.0917th+0.03Pass EPA
28th-0.0815th+0.06Run EPA
19th-0.1122nd-0.06Success rate
24th41%21st45%Explosive plays
24th7%23rd9%Points per drive
29th1.7116th2.10Red zone TD
25th52%4th42%Third downs
27th36%29th47%Sacks
9th5%3rd8%Turnovers
19th12%4th15%Titans: 29.9 sec a snap (2nd fastest) · passes 5% less than expected
Bengals Offense vs Titans Defense
CIN offTEN def
EPA per play
2nd+0.1627th+0.08Pass EPA
3rd+0.2626th+0.17Run EPA
16th-0.0917th-0.08Success rate
2nd52%29th47%Explosive plays
12th8%24th9%Points per drive
5th2.7722nd2.35Red zone TD
6th68%21st65%Third downs
1st53%26th44%Sacks
8th4%15th7%Turnovers
20th13%8th13%Bengals: 32.2 sec a snap (18th fastest) · passes 11% more than expected
From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.
Players to Watch
Titans
- QBCam Ward-0.07 EPA a dropback · CPOE -3.2 · 232 dropbacks · 27th of 32
- RBTony Pollard-0.05 EPA a carry · 4.6 yds · 127 carries · 17th in EPA
Bengals
- QBJoe Burrow+0.28 EPA a dropback · CPOE +10.0 · 274 dropbacks · 4th of 32
- RBChase Brown-0.13 EPA a carry · 3.8 yds · 81 carries · 27th in EPA
- WRJa'Marr Chase+0.50 EPA a target · 71% caught · 59 targets · 24th in EPA
- WRTee Higgins+0.90 EPA a target · 71% caught · 58 targets · 2nd in EPA
Recent Form
Titans
- L24–27vs Browns−1
- W26–20at Colts+15
- L3–26vs Texans−17
- L18–24at Ravens+5
Bengals
- W35–13at Ravens+21
- W31–24at Dolphins+4
- L17–22vs Jaguars−1
- L27–30at Steelers−3
The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.
What These Numbers Mean
- EPA
- Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
- Success rate
- Share of plays with positive EPA.
- Explosive plays
- Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
- Red zone TD
- Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
- Sacks
- Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
- Turnovers
- Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
- Players
- QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.

