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What the Bengals Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
5% likely
One more loss
>99%
12% likely
Two or more
86%
83% likely
Win out and it is in: in the field in >99% of the 511 runs where it won every game left.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs SteelersSun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET | 58% | 96% | 78% | >99% |
| at CommandersMon, Nov 23 | 63% | 94% | 79% | >99% |
| vs SaintsSun, Nov 29 | 70% | 93% | 78% | – |
| at BrownsSun, Dec 6 | 67% | 95% | 74% | >99% |
| vs ChiefsSun, Dec 13 | 52% | 96% | 80% | >99% |
| at PanthersSun, Dec 20 | 63% | 94% | 78% | >99% |
| at ColtsSun, Dec 27 | 46% | 94% | 78% | >99% |
| vs RavensThu, Dec 31 | 75% | 95% | 76% | >99% |
| vs BrownsSun, Jan 10 | 66% | 94% | 72% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the AFC North | 57% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 43% | 72% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Lions over Patriots89% if DET wins, 87% if NE does · DET 53% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET+2pts
Later This Season
- Falcons over Browns90% if ATL wins, 86% if CLE does · ATL 52% to win · Sun, Dec 13+4pts
- Giants over Browns90% if NYG wins, 86% if CLE does · NYG 60% to win · Sun, Dec 20+4pts
- Colts over Browns89% if IND wins, 87% if CLE does · IND 51% to win · Sun, Jan 3+3pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 88% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 48% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 22% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 11% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 5% |