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AFC North Race

2026 season · 10,000 simulations

Updated Thu, Nov 12 · 11:46 PM ET

← Every team's playoff odds

The Race iHow this works

Team	Division	Wild Card	Playoffs
Bengals6-2 · 1-1 div	57%	31%	88%
Steelers6-2 · 2-1 div	33%	41%	75%
Browns5-4 · 2-1 div	6%	21%	27%
Ravens4-5 · 0-2 div	4%	15%	19%

Games That Decide It iHow this works

The games left whose results move the race most, and each contender's chance either way.

1. 1Steelers at BengalsSun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET · CIN 58%

   Division Chance	If PIT Wins	If CIN Wins
   Bengals	27%	79%
   Steelers	63%	12%
   Ravens	5%	3%

2. 2Bengals at BrownsSun, Dec 6 · CIN 67%

   Division Chance	If CIN Wins	If CLE Wins
   Bengals	69%	35%
   Steelers	28%	44%
   Browns	1%	15%

3. 3Browns at BengalsSun, Jan 10 · CIN 66%

   Division Chance	If CLE Wins	If CIN Wins
   Bengals	34%	67%
   Browns	17%	1%
   Steelers	44%	29%

4. 4Ravens at BengalsThu, Dec 31 · CIN 75%

   Division Chance	If BAL Wins	If CIN Wins
   Bengals	39%	67%
   Steelers	43%	28%
   Ravens	10%	<1%

5. 5Chiefs at BengalsSun, Dec 13 · CIN 52%

   Division Chance	If KC Wins	If CIN Wins
   Bengals	44%	69%
   Steelers	43%	25%
   Browns	8%	4%

6. 6Ravens at SteelersSun, Dec 20 · PIT 71%

   Division Chance	If BAL Wins	If PIT Wins
   Steelers	18%	44%
   Bengals	66%	51%
   Ravens	9%	<1%