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What the Steelers Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
75% to make the playoffs
6-2 · AFC North · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
1% likely
One more loss
>99%
5% likely
Two or more
73%
94% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (113 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at BengalsSun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET | 42% | 90% | 64% | – |
| at EaglesSun, Nov 22 | 69% | 84% | 63% | – |
| vs BroncosFri, Nov 27 | 48% | 88% | 62% | – |
| vs TexansSun, Dec 6 | 47% | 90% | 62% | – |
| at JaguarsMon, Dec 14 | 29% | 90% | 68% | >99% |
| vs RavensSun, Dec 20 | 71% | 87% | 55% | – |
| vs PanthersSun, Dec 27 | 59% | 84% | 59% | – |
| at TitansSun, Jan 3 | 69% | 83% | 56% | – |
| at RavensSun, Jan 10 | 33% | 89% | 59% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the AFC North | 33% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 67% | 62% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Chargers over Ravens78% if LAC wins, 72% if BAL does · LAC 51% to win · Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET+6pts
- Lions over Patriots77% if DET wins, 73% if NE does · DET 53% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET+4pts
Later This Season
- Commanders over Texans79% if WSH wins, 73% if HOU does · WSH 37% to win · Sun, Dec 13+6pts
- Buccaneers over Ravens77% if TB wins, 72% if BAL does · TB 67% to win · Sun, Dec 13+6pts
- Eagles over Texans78% if PHI wins, 73% if HOU does · PHI 26% to win · Thu, Dec 24+5pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 75% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 35% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 14% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 6% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 3% |