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What the Falcons Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
17% to make the playoffs
3-6 · NFC South · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
–
1% likely
One more loss
97%
4% likely
Two or more
13%
96% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (77 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs ChiefsSun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | 37% | 28% | 10% | – |
| at VikingsSun, Nov 29 | 45% | 30% | 10% | – |
| vs LionsSun, Dec 6 | 36% | 30% | 10% | – |
| at BrownsSun, Dec 13 | 52% | 25% | 9% | – |
| at CommandersSun, Dec 20 | 48% | 27% | 8% | – |
| vs BuccaneersSun, Dec 27 | 52% | 33% | 5% | – |
| vs SaintsSun, Jan 3 | 56% | 26% | 5% | – |
| at PanthersSun, Jan 10 | 43% | 30% | 5% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC South | 16% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 84% | 1% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Saints over Panthers18% if NO wins, 16% if CAR does · NO 51% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET+2pts
Later This Season
- Ravens over Buccaneers21% if BAL wins, 14% if TB does · BAL 33% to win · Sun, Dec 13+7pts
- Chargers over Buccaneers22% if LAC wins, 15% if TB does · LAC 32% to win · Sun, Dec 6+7pts
- Lions over Buccaneers20% if DET wins, 13% if TB does · DET 59% to win · Sun, Nov 22+6pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 17% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 8% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 3% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 1% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 1% |