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What the Bears Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
77% to make the playoffs
7-2 · NFC North · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
2% likely
One more loss
>99%
8% likely
Two or more
75%
90% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (206 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs SaintsSun, Nov 22 | 72% | 85% | 58% | – |
| at LionsThu, Nov 26 | 47% | 92% | 64% | >99% |
| vs JaguarsSun, Dec 6 | 40% | 89% | 69% | >99% |
| at DolphinsSun, Dec 13 | 80% | 85% | 60% | – |
| at BillsSat, Dec 19 | 38% | 89% | 69% | >99% |
| vs PackersFri, Dec 25 | 55% | 92% | 60% | – |
| vs LionsSun, Jan 3 | 53% | 90% | 63% | – |
| at VikingsSun, Jan 10 | 44% | 91% | 63% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC North | 25% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 75% | 69% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Patriots over Lions79% if NE wins, 75% if DET does · NE 47% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET+4pts
- Raiders over Seahawks81% if LV wins, 76% if SEA does · LV 24% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET+5pts
- Cardinals over Rams79% if ARI wins, 76% if LAR does · ARI 19% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET+3pts
Later This Season
- Texans over Packers80% if HOU wins, 74% if GB does · HOU 48% to win · Mon, Jan 4+6pts
- Bills over Packers79% if BUF wins, 74% if GB does · BUF 58% to win · Sun, Dec 13+5pts
- Eagles over Seahawks81% if PHI wins, 75% if SEA does · PHI 20% to win · Sat, Dec 19+5pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 77% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 46% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 23% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 12% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 6% |