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What the Lions Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
80% to make the playoffs
6-2 · NFC North · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
>99%
3% likely
One more loss
>99%
9% likely
Two or more
77%
88% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (266 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs PatriotsSun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET | 53% | 89% | 70% | >99% |
| vs BuccaneersSun, Nov 22 | 59% | 89% | 67% | – |
| vs BearsThu, Nov 26 | 53% | 92% | 66% | >99% |
| at FalconsSun, Dec 6 | 64% | 88% | 66% | – |
| vs TitansSun, Dec 13 | 80% | 85% | 61% | – |
| at VikingsSun, Dec 20 | 62% | 93% | 67% | >99% |
| vs GiantsMon, Dec 28 | 68% | 88% | 63% | – |
| at BearsSun, Jan 3 | 47% | 93% | 68% | >99% |
| at PackersSun, Jan 10 | 55% | 94% | 66% | >99% |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC North | 36% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 64% | 69% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Cardinals over Rams82% if ARI wins, 79% if LAR does · ARI 19% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET+3pts
- Vikings over Packers81% if MIN wins, 79% if GB does · MIN 35% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET+3pts
Later This Season
- Saints over Packers84% if NO wins, 78% if GB does · NO 35% to win · Sun, Dec 6+6pts
- Dolphins over Packers85% if MIA wins, 78% if GB does · MIA 18% to win · Sun, Dec 20+7pts
- Bills over Packers82% if BUF wins, 77% if GB does · BUF 58% to win · Sun, Dec 13+5pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 80% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 51% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 27% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | 14% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | 6% |