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Titans at Giants

Week 3 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 5 · 9:46 PM ET

Titans0-2 going in
7–12Final
Giants1-1 going in

Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ

The Call How this works

GordStats had Giants by 5.2✓, the book by 2.5 — they agree, no lean.

On the total, GordStats said 44 to the book's 37.5: a lean to the Over✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

TEN 35%win chanceNYG 65%
GordStatsNYG by 5.265% to win · TEN 20–NYG 25
BookNYG -2.5O/U 37.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Titans' pass protection (9th) meets Giants' pass rush (32nd).
  • Titans' pass rush (14th) meets Giants' pass protection (29th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Titans Offense vs Giants Defense

TEN offNYG def
EPA per play
29th-0.1212th-0.03
Pass EPA
29th-0.1510th+0.02
Run EPA
13th-0.0717th-0.08
Success rate
26th40%22nd45%
Explosive plays
22nd7%10th7%
Points per drive
29th1.4512th1.98
Red zone TD
25th50%29th75%
Third downs
21st35%30th50%
Sacks
9th4%32nd2%
Turnovers
12th8%3rd18%

Titans: 29.7 sec a snap (3rd fastest) · passes 10% less than expected

Giants Offense vs Titans Defense

NYG offTEN def
EPA per play
22nd-0.0426th+0.07
Pass EPA
14th+0.1227th+0.18
Run EPA
26th-0.2014th-0.09
Success rate
25th40%15th43%
Explosive plays
30th6%18th8%
Points per drive
17th1.9515th2.08
Red zone TD
19th55%23rd67%
Third downs
9th44%9th37%
Sacks
29th9%14th6%
Turnovers
21st13%30th5%

Giants: 32.8 sec a snap (23rd fastest) · passes 13% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Titans

  • QBCam Ward-0.15 EPA a dropback · CPOE +1.3 · 109 dropbacks · 28th of 32
  • RBTony Pollard-0.08 EPA a carry · 4.1 yds · 54 carries · 27th in EPA

Giants

  • QBJameis Winston-0.13 EPA a dropback · CPOE -8.0 · 79 dropbacks · 26th of 32
  • RBCam Skattebo-0.19 EPA a carry · 3.3 yds · 62 carries · 36th in EPA

Recent Form

Titans

  • L20-24vs Eagles+3
  • L10-23vs Jets—

Giants

  • L6-28at Rams−15
  • W28-20vs Cowboys—

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.