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Giants at Eagles

Week 9 preview

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Giants4-2-1
at
Eagles2-6

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET · Fox

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Eagles by 1.5, the book has Giants by 3.5: a lean to Eagles +3.5.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

NYG 45%win chancePHI 55%
GordStatsPHI by 1.555% to win · NYG 21–PHI 22
DraftKingsNYG -3.5O/U 40.5
Assumes outJameis WinstonGiants quarterback
Assumes outJalen HurtsEagles quarterback
ESPNNYG 54%win chance
Watch score36Upset watch

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Eagles' red-zone offense (3rd) meets Giants' red-zone defense (29th).
  • Giants' passing game (13th) meets Eagles' pass defense (24th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense

NYG offPHI def
EPA per play
17th+0.0121st+0.06
Pass EPA
13th+0.1324th+0.15
Run EPA
20th-0.1323rd-0.05
Success rate
20th42%20th44%
Explosive plays
22nd7%20th9%
Points per drive
17th2.0723rd2.35
Red zone TD
9th67%15th60%
Third downs
9th43%18th41%
Sacks
25th8%32nd3%
Turnovers
21st13%32nd5%

Giants: 33.1 sec a snap (24th fastest) · passes 7% less than expected

Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense

PHI offNYG def
EPA per play
24th-0.0616th+0.01
Pass EPA
23rd-0.0114th+0.05
Run EPA
21st-0.1321st-0.06
Success rate
30th38%15th43%
Explosive plays
32nd4%19th9%
Points per drive
30th1.6315th2.09
Red zone TD
3rd71%29th78%
Third downs
26th37%16th40%
Sacks
22nd7%30th4%
Turnovers
14th10%18th10%

Eagles: 32.0 sec a snap (16th fastest) · passes 4% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Giants

  • RBCam Skattebo-0.12 EPA a carry · 4.2 yds · 92 carries · 25th in EPA
  • WRMalachi Fields+0.63 EPA a target · 64% caught · 22 targets · 13th in EPA

Eagles

  • RBSaquon Barkley+0.02 EPA a carry · 4.9 yds · 56 carries · 9th in EPA
  • WRDontayvion Wicks+0.53 EPA a target · 61% caught · 31 targets · 21st in EPA

Recent Form

Giants

  • W27–21at Texans+17
  • L27–34vs Saints−6
  • T27–27at Commanders+4
  • W36–24vs Cardinals+10

Eagles

  • L10–27at Commanders−14
  • L21–38vs Cowboys−16
  • L14–25vs Panthers−11
  • L17–19vs Jaguars+3

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.