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Cardinals at Giants

Week 4 · Final

Updated Mon, Oct 12 · 5:44 AM ET

Cardinals1-2 going in
24–36Final
Giants2-1 going in

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ

The Call How this works

GordStats had Giants by 2✓, the book had Cardinals by 2.5: a lean to Giants +2.5✓.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

ARI 44%win chanceNYG 56%
GordStatsNYG by 256% to win · ARI 22–NYG 23
BookARI -2.5O/U 43.5

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Cardinals' run defense (4th) meets Giants' run game (28th).
  • Cardinals' third-down offense (13th) meets Giants' third-down defense (28th).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense

ARI offNYG def
EPA per play
16th+0.0018th+0.01
Pass EPA
19th+0.0417th+0.05
Run EPA
14th-0.1019th-0.08
Success rate
10th46%23rd45%
Explosive plays
32nd4%18th8%
Points per drive
19th1.9616th2.04
Red zone TD
15th61%24th69%
Third downs
13th41%28th46%
Sacks
12th6%26th4%
Turnovers
12th9%9th13%

Cardinals: 32.2 sec a snap (19th fastest) · passes 2% less than expected

Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense

NYG offARI def
EPA per play
20th-0.0329th+0.13
Pass EPA
13th+0.1532nd+0.38
Run EPA
28th-0.234th-0.22
Success rate
21st42%22nd45%
Explosive plays
30th5%32nd11%
Points per drive
17th2.0232nd3.00
Red zone TD
11th64%30th78%
Third downs
7th45%21st42%
Sacks
24th7%11th7%
Turnovers
21st14%17th12%

Giants: 31.9 sec a snap (14th fastest) · passes 9% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Cardinals

  • QBJacoby Brissett+0.00 EPA a dropback · CPOE +2.0 · 190 dropbacks · 20th of 31
  • RBJeremiyah Love-0.07 EPA a carry · 3.7 yds · 65 carries · 24th in EPA
  • WRKendrick Bourne+0.48 EPA a target · 83% caught · 18 targets · 34th in EPA

Giants

  • QBJameis Winston-0.01 EPA a dropback · CPOE -6.1 · 134 dropbacks · 23rd of 31
  • RBCam Skattebo-0.19 EPA a carry · 3.5 yds · 75 carries · 35th in EPA

Recent Form

Cardinals

  • L30-36at 49ers+3
  • L7-31vs Seahawks−17
  • W26-14at Chargers—

Giants

  • W12-7vs Titans0
  • L6-28at Rams−15
  • W28-20vs Cowboys—

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.