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Cardinals at Seahawks

Week 9 preview

Updated Mon, Nov 2 · 11:43 AM ET

Cardinals3-5
at
Seahawks4-3

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET · Fox

Lumen Field · Seattle, WA

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Seahawks by 12.2, the book by 11.5 — 0.7 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

ARI 18%win chanceSEA 82%
GordStatsSEA by 12.282% to win · ARI 17–SEA 30
DraftKingsSEA -11.5O/U 44.5
ESPNSEA 82%win chance
Watch score52

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Seahawks' big-play defense (1st) meets Cardinals' big-play offense (31st).
  • Cardinals' run defense (3rd) meets Seahawks' run game (31st).

League rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense

ARI offSEA def
EPA per play
20th-0.013rd-0.14
Pass EPA
21st+0.023rd-0.07
Run EPA
12th-0.061st-0.23
Success rate
13th44%2nd36%
Explosive plays
31st5%1st4%
Points per drive
20th1.972nd1.45
Red zone TD
30th45%30th79%
Third downs
15th39%2nd28%
Sacks
13th6%13th7%
Turnovers
11th9%9th13%

Cardinals: 32.2 sec a snap (17th fastest) · passes 1% less than expected

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense

SEA offARI def
EPA per play
23rd-0.0626th+0.08
Pass EPA
16th+0.1031st+0.28
Run EPA
31st-0.303rd-0.20
Success rate
22nd42%18th44%
Explosive plays
14th8%22nd9%
Points per drive
16th2.1031st2.70
Red zone TD
24th52%20th65%
Third downs
18th39%14th39%
Sacks
19th6%8th7%
Turnovers
28th16%29th8%

Seahawks: 34.6 sec a snap (30th fastest) · passes 8% less than expected

From nflverse play-by-play. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Cardinals

  • QBJacoby Brissett-0.06 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.0 · 289 dropbacks · 26th of 32
  • RBJeremiyah Love-0.15 EPA a carry · 3.6 yds · 74 carries · 29th in EPA

Seahawks

  • QBSam Darnold-0.01 EPA a dropback · CPOE +0.8 · 192 dropbacks · 23rd of 32
  • RBEmanuel Wilson-0.22 EPA a carry · 3.2 yds · 85 carries · 35th in EPA
  • WRJaxon Smith-Njigba+0.75 EPA a target · 74% caught · 77 targets · 6th in EPA

Recent Form

Cardinals

  • W33–30at Cowboys+8
  • L16–30vs Broncos−9
  • W18–16at Rams+13
  • L21–45vs Lions−20

Seahawks

  • W20–3vs Chiefs+14
  • L14–17at Broncos−6
  • L29–32vs 49ers−7
  • W30–23vs Chargers−4

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added per play: how much a snap changed the points the offense could expect from the drive. EPA per play is adjusted for the opponents faced; the splits are as played, garbage time out.
Success rate
Share of plays with positive EPA.
Explosive plays
Dropbacks of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per play.
Red zone TD
Possessions with a snap inside the 20 that end in a touchdown.
Sacks
Per dropback: the offense's taken, the defense's made.
Turnovers
Possessions ending in an interception or a lost fumble: the offense's giveaways, the defense's takeaways.
Players
QBs on EPA per dropback (CPOE is completion percentage over expected), backs per carry, receivers per target; ranked among the leaderboard qualifiers.