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Arkansas St. at Alabama

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Arkansas St.1-0 · Sun Belt going in
86–101Final
#20 Alabama1-0 · SEC going in

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:30 PM ET · SECN+

Coleman Coliseum · Tuscaloosa, AL

The Call How this works

GordStats had Alabama by 23.5✓, the book by 25.5 — 2 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

On the total, GordStats said 168 to the book's 178.5: a lean to the Under✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

Arkansas St. 2%win chanceAlabama 98%
GordStatsAlabama by 23.598% to win · Arkansas St. 72–Alabama 96
BookAlabama -25.5O/U 178.5

Unit vs Unit

  • Alabama's offensive rebounding (63rd) meets Arkansas St.'s defensive rebounding (318th).
  • Alabama's foul rate (74th) meets Arkansas St.'s free-throw rate (261st).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Arkansas St. Offense vs Alabama Defense

Arkansas St. offAlabama def
Adj. efficiency
199th103.525th96.2
Effective FG%
200th47.9%212th51.1%
Turnovers
197th18.0%35th25.3%
Offensive rebounding
120th34.0%245th34.0%
Free-throw rate
261st26.7%74th22.7%
3-point %
135th34.2%320th41.7%

Arkansas St.: 74.8 possessions a game (14th fastest) · 52% of shots from three

Alabama Offense vs Arkansas St. Defense

Alabama offArkansas St. def
Adj. efficiency
23rd117.2138th103.8
Effective FG%
162nd50.0%113th44.6%
Turnovers
99th14.4%138th18.6%
Offensive rebounding
63rd39.2%318th41.2%
Free-throw rate
114th41.1%178th34.2%
3-point %
177th30.9%131st27.3%

Alabama: 77.2 possessions a game (5th fastest) · 54% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Arkansas St.

  • W71–70vs Toledo0

Alabama

  • W96–74vs Sam Houston St.+2

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.