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San Diego St. vs Colorado

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Sat, Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET · USA Net

Neutral site · Pechanga Arena · San Diego, CA

The Call How this works

GordStats likes San Diego St. by 3.4, the book by 2.5 — 0.9 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

SDSU 62%win chanceColorado 38%
GordStatsSDSU by 3.462% to win · SDSU 78–Colorado 74
BookSDSU -2.5O/U 154.5
Watch score54Upset watch

Unit vs Unit

  • Colorado's ball security (145th) meets San Diego St.'s ball pressure (310th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

San Diego St. Offense vs Colorado Defense

SDSU offColorado def
Adj. efficiency
59th113.394th100.8
Effective FG%
114th54.4%90th42.1%
Turnovers
223rd18.8%130th18.8%
Offensive rebounding
6th51.4%63rd21.6%
Free-throw rate
53rd50.0%140th29.8%
3-point %
125th34.8%54th20.0%

San Diego St.: 71.4 possessions a game (144th fastest) · 34% of shots from three

Colorado Offense vs San Diego St. Defense

Colorado offSDSU def
Adj. efficiency
85th110.858th98.4
Effective FG%
3rd69.0%126th45.7%
Turnovers
145th15.9%310th11.3%
Offensive rebounding
68th38.5%112th25.6%
Free-throw rate
176th34.5%186th34.8%
3-point %
3rd52.6%65th21.9%

Colorado: 71.4 possessions a game (145th fastest) · 33% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

San Diego St.

  • W102–78vs Cal St. Fullerton+5

Colorado

  • W94–59vs Abilene Christian+17

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.