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Massachusetts at Providence

Women's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Massachusetts0-1 · MAC
at
Providence1-0 · Big East

Sat, Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Alumni Hall (RI) · Providence, RI

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Providence by 3.9, 63% to win. No book line yet.

UMass 37%win chanceProvidence 63%
GordStatsProvidence by 3.963% to win · UMass 63–Providence 67
Watch score38Upset watch

Unit vs Unit

  • Massachusetts' offensive rebounding (46th) meets Providence's defensive rebounding (294th).
  • Providence's shooting (62nd) meets Massachusetts' shot defense (303rd).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Massachusetts Offense vs Providence Defense

UMass offProvidence def
Adj. efficiency
146th92.3109th89.3
Effective FG%
197th42.1%275th50.9%
Turnovers
231st24.6%40th31.7%
Offensive rebounding
46th43.5%294th42.4%
Free-throw rate
200th27.1%209th30.9%
3-point %
106th31.8%288th35.3%

Massachusetts: 73.3 possessions a game (152nd fastest) · 31% of shots from three

Providence Offense vs Massachusetts Defense

Providence offUMass def
Adj. efficiency
129th93.0125th90.1
Effective FG%
62nd51.6%303rd52.6%
Turnovers
153rd20.7%98th25.9%
Offensive rebounding
96th38.2%99th25.0%
Free-throw rate
107th35.5%233rd33.3%
3-point %
237th22.2%209th28.6%

Providence: 71.2 possessions a game (275th fastest) · 29% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I.

Recent Form

Massachusetts

  • L70–74vs Marshall−13

Providence

  • W79–65vs Stonehill−4

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.