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Kentucky vs N.C. State

Women's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

#14 Kentucky2-0 · SEC
vs
#25 N.C. State2-0 · ACC

Sun, Nov 8 · 3:00 PM ET · ESPN2

Neutral site · Spectrum Center · Charlotte, NC

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Kentucky by 1.4, 55% to win. No book line yet.

Kentucky 55%win chanceNC St 45%
GordStatsKentucky by 1.455% to win · Kentucky 68–NC St 67
Watch score87Top 25 matchup · Toss-up

Unit vs Unit

  • N.C. State's foul rate (67th) meets Kentucky's free-throw rate (209th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Kentucky Offense vs N.C. State Defense

Kentucky offNC St def
Adj. efficiency
30th103.620th80.2
Effective FG%
173rd43.9%80th35.6%
Turnovers
38th12.3%87th26.6%
Offensive rebounding
22nd46.8%118th27.4%
Free-throw rate
209th26.5%67th16.9%
3-point %
209th24.1%132nd23.8%

Kentucky: 72.8 possessions a game (182nd fastest) · 37% of shots from three

N.C. State Offense vs Kentucky Defense

NC St offKentucky def
Adj. efficiency
31st103.416th78.9
Effective FG%
41st53.8%39th26.3%
Turnovers
78th16.8%31st32.9%
Offensive rebounding
102nd37.5%48th17.7%
Free-throw rate
208th26.7%172nd27.3%
3-point %
147th28.9%82nd18.8%

N.C. State: 74.8 possessions a game (78th fastest) · 34% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I.

Recent Form

Kentucky

  • W79–28vs Northern Kentucky+21
  • W85–42vs Morehead St.+11

N.C. State

  • W80–45vs Campbell+8
  • W80–50vs Wofford+5

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.