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Central Arkansas at Mississippi

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Central Arkansas1-0 · UAC going in
60–92Final
Mississippi1-0 · SEC going in

Fri, Nov 6 · 8:30 PM ET · SECN+

The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · Oxford, MS

The Call How this works

GordStats had Mississippi by 12.1✓, the book by 16.5: a lean to Central Arkansas +16.5✗.

On the total, GordStats said 148 to the book's 154.5: a lean to the Under✓.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

Central Arkansas 14%win chanceOle Miss 86%
GordStatsOle Miss by 12.186% to win · Central Arkansas 68–Ole Miss 80
BookOle Miss -16.5O/U 154.5

Unit vs Unit

  • Mississippi's ball pressure (6th) meets Central Arkansas' ball security (274th).
  • Mississippi's offensive rebounding (108th) meets Central Arkansas' defensive rebounding (254th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Central Arkansas Offense vs Mississippi Defense

Central Arkansas offOle Miss def
Adj. efficiency
185th104.044th97.7
Effective FG%
144th51.8%138th46.6%
Turnovers
274th20.9%6th29.8%
Offensive rebounding
242nd26.8%131st26.4%
Free-throw rate
144th37.5%218th38.2%
3-point %
150th32.8%263rd35.8%

Central Arkansas: 71.2 possessions a game (159th fastest) · 60% of shots from three

Mississippi Offense vs Central Arkansas Defense

Ole Miss offCentral Arkansas def
Adj. efficiency
65th112.5170th105.3
Effective FG%
41st60.3%160th47.7%
Turnovers
76th12.8%156th18.1%
Offensive rebounding
108th34.8%254th34.5%
Free-throw rate
135th38.9%119th27.7%
3-point %
91st37.2%117th26.2%

Mississippi: 71.1 possessions a game (163rd fastest) · 33% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Central Arkansas

  • W85–55vs Oral Roberts+20

Mississippi

  • W99–58vs Alcorn St.+14

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.