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Arkansas St. at Florida Gulf Coast

Women's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Arkansas St.0-1 · Sun Belt
at
Florida Gulf Coast0-1 · ASUN

Sat, Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Alico Arena · Fort Myers, FL

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Florida Gulf Coast by 3.6, 62% to win. No book line yet.

Arkansas St. 38%win chanceFGCU 62%
GordStatsFGCU by 3.662% to win · Arkansas St. 68–FGCU 71
Watch score35Upset watch

Unit vs Unit

  • Arkansas St.'s free-throw rate (48th) meets Florida Gulf Coast's foul rate (288th).
  • Arkansas St.'s ball pressure (52nd) meets Florida Gulf Coast's ball security (247th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Arkansas St. Offense vs Florida Gulf Coast Defense

Arkansas St. offFGCU def
Adj. efficiency
154th91.8149th91.3
Effective FG%
238th39.3%288th51.6%
Turnovers
208th23.1%174th22.7%
Offensive rebounding
173rd32.0%272nd40.5%
Free-throw rate
48th42.9%288th40.3%
3-point %
280th18.9%269th33.3%

Arkansas St.: 77.8 possessions a game (16th fastest) · 53% of shots from three

Florida Gulf Coast Offense vs Arkansas St. Defense

FGCU offArkansas St. def
Adj. efficiency
119th93.3143rd90.9
Effective FG%
299th31.9%246th48.4%
Turnovers
247th25.3%52nd30.1%
Offensive rebounding
271st23.8%322nd44.7%
Free-throw rate
157th31.0%352nd59.0%
3-point %
319th11.5%171st26.3%

Florida Gulf Coast: 70.5 possessions a game (311th fastest) · 45% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I.

Recent Form

Arkansas St.

  • L74–84at Ball St.−4

Florida Gulf Coast

  • L50–79at Indiana−16

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.