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Morehead St. at Louisville

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Morehead St.1-1 · Ohio Valley
at
#11 Louisville1-0 · ACC

Sat, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET · ACCNX

KFC Yum! Center · Louisville, KY

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Louisville by 29.4, the book by 37.5: a lean to Morehead St. +37.5.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

Morehead St 1%win chanceLouisville >99%
GordStatsLouisville by 29.4>99% to win · Morehead St 61–Louisville 91
BookLouisville -37.5O/U 151.5
Watch score10

Unit vs Unit

  • Louisville's offense (12th) meets Morehead St.'s defense (345th).
  • Louisville's defense (11th) meets Morehead St.'s offense (279th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Morehead St. Offense vs Louisville Defense

Morehead St offLouisville def
Adj. efficiency
279th99.711th94.0
Effective FG%
269th42.2%256th54.4%
Turnovers
235th19.0%36th25.2%
Offensive rebounding
281st23.1%194th31.4%
Free-throw rate
304th20.7%88th24.6%
3-point %
297th21.9%272nd36.4%

Morehead St.: 69.4 possessions a game (299th fastest) · 55% of shots from three

Louisville Offense vs Morehead St. Defense

Louisville offMorehead St def
Adj. efficiency
12th118.4345th113.1
Effective FG%
158th50.7%205th50.7%
Turnovers
94th14.0%325th8.8%
Offensive rebounding
51st40.0%235th33.3%
Free-throw rate
139th38.2%66th21.7%
3-point %
253rd25.7%261st35.7%

Louisville: 71.9 possessions a game (111th fastest) · 52% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Morehead St.

  • W114–60vs Virginia Lynchburg—
  • L58–83at Western Kentucky−12

Louisville

  • W84–70vs Chattanooga−15

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.