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UNC Wilmington at East Carolina

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

UNC Wilmington1-0 · CAA
at
East Carolina1-0 · American

Sat, Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · Greenville, NC

The Call How this works

GordStats likes UNC Wilmington by 3.1, the book by 3.5 — they agree, no lean.

UNCW 61%win chanceECU 39%
GordStatsUNCW by 3.161% to win · UNCW 76–ECU 73
BookUNCW -3.5O/U 149.5
Watch score31Upset watch

Unit vs Unit

  • East Carolina's foul rate (40th) meets UNC Wilmington's free-throw rate (334th).
  • East Carolina's ball security (135th) meets UNC Wilmington's ball pressure (334th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

UNC Wilmington Offense vs East Carolina Defense

UNCW offECU def
Adj. efficiency
89th110.7226th107.6
Effective FG%
334th0.0%268th55.1%
Turnovers
4th0.0%15th28.2%
Offensive rebounding
333rd0.0%228th33.3%
Free-throw rate
334th0.0%40th13.6%
3-point %
334th0.0%248th35.0%

UNC Wilmington: 68.7 possessions a game (330th fastest) · 0% of shots from three

East Carolina Offense vs UNC Wilmington Defense

ECU offUNCW def
Adj. efficiency
166th105.0151st104.7
Effective FG%
58th57.9%4th0.0%
Turnovers
135th15.5%334th0.0%
Offensive rebounding
112th34.4%4th0.0%
Free-throw rate
93rd43.9%4th0.0%
3-point %
12th48.0%4th0.0%

East Carolina: 70.7 possessions a game (206th fastest) · 44% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

UNC Wilmington

  • W101–65vs Mount Olive—

East Carolina

  • W83–70vs USC Upstate+4

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.