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Southern at TCU

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Fri, Nov 6 · 8:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Schollmaier Arena · Fort Worth, TX

The Call How this works

GordStats had TCU by 23.8✓, the book by 26.5 — 2.7 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

Southern 2%win chanceTCU 98%
GordStatsTCU by 23.898% to win · Southern 63–TCU 87
BookTCU -26.5O/U 152.5

Unit vs Unit

  • TCU's ball pressure (13th) meets Southern's ball security (349th).
  • TCU's three-point shooting (7th) meets Southern's three-point defense (343rd).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Southern Offense vs TCU Defense

Southern offTCU def
Adj. efficiency
313th97.631st96.8
Effective FG%
247th43.9%73rd40.4%
Turnovers
349th27.0%13th28.3%
Offensive rebounding
165th31.4%273rd35.8%
Free-throw rate
234th28.9%171st33.9%
3-point %
172nd31.2%64th21.9%

Southern: 72.6 possessions a game (74th fastest) · 28% of shots from three

TCU Offense vs Southern Defense

TCU offSouthern def
Adj. efficiency
54th113.6246th108.5
Effective FG%
70th57.0%311th59.1%
Turnovers
151st16.2%83rd21.6%
Offensive rebounding
13th49.3%344th45.2%
Free-throw rate
25th55.8%355th67.3%
3-point %
7th50.0%343rd45.5%

TCU: 71.4 possessions a game (143rd fastest) · 36% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Southern

  • L72–85at SMU+11

TCU

  • W98–59vs Lindenwood+17

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.