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Northeastern at Virginia

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Northeastern0-1 · CAA going in
72–97Final
#9 Virginia1-0 · ACC going in

Fri, Nov 6 · 5:00 PM ET · ACC Network

John Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

The Call How this works

GordStats had Virginia by 30.7✓, the book by 33.5 — 2.8 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

Northeastern <1%win chanceUVA >99%
GordStatsUVA by 30.7>99% to win · Northeastern 63–UVA 94
BookUVA -33.5O/U 159.5

Unit vs Unit

  • Virginia's offense (6th) meets Northeastern's defense (325th).
  • Virginia's defensive rebounding (47th) meets Northeastern's offensive rebounding (311th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Northeastern Offense vs Virginia Defense

Northeastern offUVA def
Adj. efficiency
169th104.910th93.2
Effective FG%
103rd55.0%177th49.1%
Turnovers
259th20.1%26th26.2%
Offensive rebounding
311th19.4%47th17.9%
Free-throw rate
121st40.5%105th26.4%
3-point %
248th26.1%153rd29.2%

Northeastern: 72.8 possessions a game (62nd fastest) · 41% of shots from three

Virginia Offense vs Northeastern Defense

UVA offNortheastern def
Adj. efficiency
6th119.5325th111.9
Effective FG%
48th59.2%333rd61.5%
Turnovers
214th18.4%206th16.7%
Offensive rebounding
123rd33.3%281st36.5%
Free-throw rate
211th30.8%257th41.8%
3-point %
98th36.7%269th36.0%

Virginia: 71.2 possessions a game (157th fastest) · 46% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Northeastern

  • L85–93at Boston University−6

Virginia

  • W89–60vs Drexel+4

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.