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Arkansas vs Virginia

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

#12 Arkansas1-0 · SEC
vs
#9 Virginia2-0 · ACC

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET · ESPN

Neutral site · Capital One Arena · Washington, DC

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Virginia by 1.8, 56% to win. No book line yet.

Arkansas 44%win chanceUVA 56%
GordStatsUVA by 1.856% to win · Arkansas 76–UVA 78
Watch score87Top 25 matchup · Toss-up

Unit vs Unit

  • Arkansas' ball pressure (4th) meets Virginia's ball security (214th).
  • Arkansas' shooting (46th) meets Virginia's shot defense (177th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Arkansas Offense vs Virginia Defense

Arkansas offUVA def
Adj. efficiency
32nd116.110th93.2
Effective FG%
46th59.4%177th49.1%
Turnovers
96th14.1%26th26.2%
Offensive rebounding
14th48.6%47th17.9%
Free-throw rate
5th65.6%105th26.4%
3-point %
141st33.3%153rd29.2%

Arkansas: 72.7 possessions a game (64th fastest) · 28% of shots from three

Virginia Offense vs Arkansas Defense

UVA offArkansas def
Adj. efficiency
6th119.519th95.5
Effective FG%
48th59.2%109th44.4%
Turnovers
214th18.4%4th30.8%
Offensive rebounding
123rd33.3%115th25.7%
Free-throw rate
211th30.8%191st35.2%
3-point %
98th36.7%145th28.6%

Virginia: 71.2 possessions a game (157th fastest) · 46% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Arkansas

  • W106–61vs Arkansas Pine Bluff+10

Virginia

  • W97–72vs Northeastern−6
  • W89–60vs Drexel+4

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.