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Connecticut vs Michigan

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Fri, Nov 6 · 8:00 PM ET · TNT

Neutral site · TD Garden · Boston, MA

The Call How this works

GordStats had Michigan by 2✗, the book had Connecticut by 7.5: a lean to Michigan +7.5✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

UConn 43%win chanceMichigan 57%
GordStatsMichigan by 257% to win · UConn 70–Michigan 72
BookUConn -7.5O/U 142.5

Unit vs Unit

  • Connecticut's free-throw rate (46th) meets Michigan's foul rate (333rd).
  • Connecticut's three-point defense (137th) meets Michigan's three-point shooting (289th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Connecticut Offense vs Michigan Defense

UConn offMichigan def
Adj. efficiency
35th115.616th95.1
Effective FG%
106th54.8%97th42.8%
Turnovers
113th14.9%144th18.3%
Offensive rebounding
223rd28.1%299th38.5%
Free-throw rate
46th52.2%333rd55.9%
3-point %
117th35.3%183rd31.2%

Connecticut: 69.1 possessions a game (310th fastest) · 44% of shots from three

Michigan Offense vs Connecticut Defense

Michigan offUConn def
Adj. efficiency
27th116.86th91.9
Effective FG%
202nd47.8%74th40.5%
Turnovers
136th15.6%90th21.0%
Offensive rebounding
71st38.2%64th21.8%
Free-throw rate
196th32.1%279th44.5%
3-point %
289th22.6%137th27.7%

Michigan: 72.3 possessions a game (84th fastest) · 46% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Connecticut

  • W86–46vs Gardner Webb+3

Michigan

  • W84–68vs Oakland−13

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.