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Holy Cross at Villanova

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Holy Cross0-1 · Patriot going in
66–95Final
Villanova0-1 · Big East going in

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Finneran Pavilion · Villanova, PA

The Call How this works

GordStats had Villanova by 30✓, the book by 34.5: a lean to Holy Cross +34.5✓.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

Holy Cross <1%win chanceVillanova >99%
GordStatsVillanova by 30>99% to win · Holy Cross 60–Villanova 90
BookVillanova -34.5O/U 151.5

Unit vs Unit

  • Villanova's offense (28th) meets Holy Cross' defense (364th).
  • Villanova's defense (42nd) meets Holy Cross' offense (308th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Holy Cross Offense vs Villanova Defense

Holy Cross offVillanova def
Adj. efficiency
308th98.142nd97.7
Effective FG%
273rd42.1%80th41.1%
Turnovers
233rd18.9%231st15.6%
Offensive rebounding
286th22.4%204th31.9%
Free-throw rate
143rd37.7%258th41.9%
3-point %
174th31.1%242nd34.8%

Holy Cross: 69.9 possessions a game (266th fastest) · 40% of shots from three

Villanova Offense vs Holy Cross Defense

Villanova offHoly Cross def
Adj. efficiency
28th116.8364th115.9
Effective FG%
62nd57.5%328th61.0%
Turnovers
188th17.7%327th7.0%
Offensive rebounding
97th35.7%258th34.7%
Free-throw rate
274th25.4%101st26.2%
3-point %
96th36.8%300th38.6%

Villanova: 70.5 possessions a game (220th fastest) · 45% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Holy Cross

  • L59–103at Rhode Island−28

Villanova

  • L72–74vs Notre Dame−9

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.