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Northern Colorado at Arizona St.

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Northern Colorado1-0 · Big Sky going in
63–90Final
Arizona St.1-0 · Big 12 going in

Fri, Nov 6 · 9:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Desert Financial Arena · Tempe, AZ

The Call How this works

GordStats had Arizona St. by 13.5✓, the book by 19.5: a lean to Northern Colorado +19.5✗.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

UNCO 12%win chanceASU 88%
GordStatsASU by 13.588% to win · UNCO 65–ASU 78
BookASU -19.5O/U 143.5

Unit vs Unit

  • Northern Colorado's three-point shooting (28th) meets Arizona St.'s three-point defense (326th).
  • Arizona St.'s ball security (61st) meets Northern Colorado's ball pressure (326th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Northern Colorado Offense vs Arizona St. Defense

UNCO offASU def
Adj. efficiency
220th102.665th98.7
Effective FG%
171st50.0%211th50.9%
Turnovers
194th17.8%113th19.4%
Offensive rebounding
274th23.7%175th30.0%
Free-throw rate
241st28.6%92nd25.2%
3-point %
28th44.4%326th42.9%

Northern Colorado: 72.0 possessions a game (110th fastest) · 32% of shots from three

Arizona St. Offense vs Northern Colorado Defense

ASU offUNCO def
Adj. efficiency
64th112.7206th107.0
Effective FG%
93rd55.5%313th59.2%
Turnovers
61st11.6%326th7.4%
Offensive rebounding
81st37.3%215th32.4%
Free-throw rate
140th38.1%133rd29.2%
3-point %
169th31.2%192nd31.8%

Arizona St.: 67.8 possessions a game (353rd fastest) · 41% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Northern Colorado

  • W117–64vs Colorado College—

Arizona St.

  • W75–65vs East Tennessee St.−2

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.