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Yale at UCF

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Yale1-0 · Ivy League going in
75–87Final
UCF1-0 · Big 12 going in

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Addition Financial Arena · Orlando, FL

The Call How this works

GordStats had UCF by 11.3✓, the book by 9.5 — 1.8 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

Yale 16%win chanceUCF 84%
GordStatsUCF by 11.384% to win · Yale 70–UCF 81
BookUCF -9.5O/U 152.5

Unit vs Unit

  • UCF's ball security (38th) meets Yale's ball pressure (322nd).
  • Yale's three-point shooting (131st) meets UCF's three-point defense (288th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Yale Offense vs UCF Defense

Yale offUCF def
Adj. efficiency
161st105.286th100.4
Effective FG%
210th47.2%248th54.0%
Turnovers
217th18.5%215th16.3%
Offensive rebounding
61st39.5%173rd29.9%
Free-throw rate
249th28.2%163rd32.3%
3-point %
131st34.7%288th37.3%

Yale: 68.8 possessions a game (325th fastest) · 40% of shots from three

UCF Offense vs Yale Defense

UCF offYale def
Adj. efficiency
45th114.4190th106.0
Effective FG%
107th54.8%116th44.9%
Turnovers
38th7.5%322nd9.6%
Offensive rebounding
236th27.1%295th38.2%
Free-throw rate
57th49.2%136th29.4%
3-point %
137th34.1%88th24.0%

UCF: 72.9 possessions a game (55th fastest) · 32% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Yale

  • W72–62vs Howard+5

UCF

  • W96–95vs Florida Gulf Coast−19

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.