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Northern Arizona at New Mexico

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Sat, Nov 7 · 6:00 PM ET · MW+

The Pit · Albuquerque, NM

The Call How this works

GordStats likes New Mexico by 25.6, the book by 26.5 — 0.9 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

On the total, GordStats says 150 to the book's 155.5: a lean to the Under.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

NAU 1%win chanceNew Mexico 99%
GordStatsNew Mexico by 25.699% to win · NAU 62–New Mexico 88
BookNew Mexico -26.5O/U 155.5
Watch score11

Unit vs Unit

  • New Mexico's offense (77th) meets Northern Arizona's defense (349th).
  • New Mexico's ball pressure (107th) meets Northern Arizona's ball security (345th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Northern Arizona Offense vs New Mexico Defense

NAU offNew Mexico def
Adj. efficiency
267th100.753rd98.2
Effective FG%
25th63.5%88th41.8%
Turnovers
345th26.2%107th19.6%
Offensive rebounding
196th29.6%43rd17.1%
Free-throw rate
56th50.0%76th23.0%
3-point %
15th47.8%62nd21.2%

Northern Arizona: 69.0 possessions a game (319th fastest) · 48% of shots from three

New Mexico Offense vs Northern Arizona Defense

New Mexico offNAU def
Adj. efficiency
77th111.5349th113.4
Effective FG%
8th67.5%250th54.1%
Turnovers
206th18.3%261st14.5%
Offensive rebounding
195th29.6%357th50.0%
Free-throw rate
125th40.0%322nd52.5%
3-point %
30th44.0%296th38.1%

New Mexico: 72.2 possessions a game (92nd fastest) · 42% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Northern Arizona

  • L77–89at UNLV+8

New Mexico

  • W100–60vs Utah Tech+20

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.