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Northwestern St. at Murray St.

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Northwestern St.0-2 · Southland
at
Murray St.1-0 · Missouri Valley

Sat, Nov 7 · 8:00 PM ET · ESPN+

CFSB Center · Murray, KY

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Murray St. by 17.8, the book by 22.5: a lean to Northwestern St. +22.5.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

NWST 6%win chanceMurray St 94%
GordStatsMurray St by 17.894% to win · NWST 68–Murray St 86
BookMurray St -22.5O/U 153.5
Watch score11

Unit vs Unit

  • Northwestern St.'s free-throw rate (75th) meets Murray St.'s foul rate (347th).
  • Murray St.'s free-throw rate (73rd) meets Northwestern St.'s foul rate (290th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Northwestern St. Offense vs Murray St. Defense

NWST offMurray St def
Adj. efficiency
296th98.6120th103.2
Effective FG%
301st38.2%44th35.5%
Turnovers
255th19.9%3rd30.9%
Offensive rebounding
284th22.5%203rd31.7%
Free-throw rate
75th46.2%347th63.6%
3-point %
282nd23.7%73rd22.7%

Northwestern St.: 69.0 possessions a game (317th fastest) · 36% of shots from three

Murray St. Offense vs Northwestern St. Defense

Murray St offNWST def
Adj. efficiency
88th110.7283rd109.7
Effective FG%
76th56.5%209th50.8%
Turnovers
260th20.2%233rd15.6%
Offensive rebounding
186th30.0%329th42.5%
Free-throw rate
73rd46.8%290th46.5%
3-point %
187th30.0%159th29.8%

Murray St.: 74.7 possessions a game (16th fastest) · 32% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Northwestern St.

  • L44–82at Mississippi St.−20
  • L65–87at Baylor0

Murray St.

  • W94–64vs Tennessee St.+24

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.