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Valparaiso at Purdue

Men's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Valparaiso1-0 · Missouri Valley going in
83–80Final/OT
Purdue0-1 · Big Ten going in

Fri, Nov 6 · 6:30 PM ET · BTN

Mackey Arena · West Lafayette, IN

The Call How this works

GordStats had Purdue by 18.7✗, the book by 19.5 — 0.8 points apart, short of the 3 it takes for a lean.

Valpo 5%win chancePurdue 95%
GordStatsPurdue by 18.795% to win · Valpo 61–Purdue 80
BookPurdue -19.5O/U 144.5

Unit vs Unit

  • Valparaiso's three-point defense (63rd) meets Purdue's three-point shooting (308th).
  • Valparaiso's ball security (71st) meets Purdue's ball pressure (289th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Valparaiso Offense vs Purdue Defense

Valpo offPurdue def
Adj. efficiency
158th105.434th97.2
Effective FG%
146th51.7%199th50.4%
Turnovers
71st12.3%289th13.0%
Offensive rebounding
231st27.6%127th26.0%
Free-throw rate
65th48.8%241st40.3%
3-point %
254th25.6%170th30.2%

Valparaiso: 69.8 possessions a game (269th fastest) · 36% of shots from three

Purdue Offense vs Valparaiso Defense

Purdue offValpo def
Adj. efficiency
49th114.2116th103.0
Effective FG%
221st46.2%93rd42.2%
Turnovers
100th14.4%142nd18.4%
Offensive rebounding
221st28.2%152nd28.0%
Free-throw rate
90th44.5%298th47.8%
3-point %
308th20.4%63rd21.4%

Purdue: 68.2 possessions a game (340th fastest) · 41% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I. Every team: Team Stats.

Recent Form

Valparaiso

  • W80–58vs Western Illinois+2

Purdue

  • L72–78vs Gonzaga−4

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.