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Michigan St. at Toledo

Women's college basketball preview

Updated Sat, Nov 7 · 5:41 AM ET

Michigan St.1-0 · Big Ten
at
Toledo0-1 · MAC

Sat, Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Savage Arena · Toledo, OH

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Michigan St. by 12.8, 86% to win. No book line yet.

MSU 86%win chanceToledo 14%
GordStatsMSU by 12.886% to win · MSU 75–Toledo 63
Watch score37

Unit vs Unit

  • Michigan St.'s ball pressure (23rd) meets Toledo's ball security (266th).
  • Michigan St.'s shooting (15th) meets Toledo's shot defense (233rd).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Michigan St. Offense vs Toledo Defense

MSU offToledo def
Adj. efficiency
35th102.8113th89.7
Effective FG%
15th58.0%233rd47.3%
Turnovers
134th19.9%155th23.6%
Offensive rebounding
154th33.3%83rd23.5%
Free-throw rate
131st33.3%241st34.5%
3-point %
70th34.8%78th18.2%

Michigan St.: 76.5 possessions a game (29th fastest) · 33% of shots from three

Toledo Offense vs Michigan St. Defense

Toledo offMSU def
Adj. efficiency
133rd92.822nd81.1
Effective FG%
190th42.7%51st30.8%
Turnovers
266th26.4%23rd35.1%
Offensive rebounding
166th32.5%60th19.1%
Free-throw rate
314th12.9%106th21.7%
3-point %
234th22.6%68th16.7%

Toledo: 71.8 possessions a game (243rd fastest) · 50% of shots from three

Bart Torvik's adjusted figures, ranked across Division I.

Recent Form

Michigan St.

  • W98–44vs Valparaiso+24

Toledo

  • L57–61vs Louisiana Tech−5

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
Adj. efficiency
Points per 100 possessions against an average D-I team on a neutral floor: the offense's scored, the defense's allowed.
Effective FG%
Field-goal percentage with a made three counted as 1.5 makes.
Turnovers
Per possession: the offense's committed, the defense's forced.
Offensive rebounding
The share of its own misses the offense gets back, against the share the defense lets its opponents get back.
Free-throw rate
Free throws attempted per field-goal attempt: drawn by the offense, allowed by the defense.