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Charlotte at Temple

Week 7 preview

Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 3:24 PM ET

Charlotte0-6
at
Temple2-4

Sat, Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET · ESPN+

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA

⛅ 54° Partly sunny · rain 18% · wind 17 mph

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Temple by 21.2, the book by 21 — they agree, no lean.

On the total, GordStats says 53 to the book's 46.5: a lean to the Over.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

CLT 9%win chanceTEM 91%
GordStatsTEM by 21.291% to win · CLT 16–TEM 37
DraftKingsTEM -21O/U 46.5
ESPN FPITEM 92%win chance
Watch score21

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Temple's offensive line (7th) meets Charlotte's defensive front (96th).
  • Temple's big-play defense (73rd) meets Charlotte's big-play offense (133rd).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Charlotte Offense vs Temple Defense

CLT offTEM def
EPA per play
138th-0.07120th+0.18
Run EPA
137th-0.03116th+0.12
Pass EPA
131st+0.06100th+0.25
Success rate
136th32%116th46%
Explosiveness
133rd0.8973rd0.93
Line yards
137th2.5785th3.00
Havoc
135th20%138th10%
Points per trip
136th1.9684th3.60
Third downs
136th27%133rd49%

Charlotte: 57 plays a game (136th most) · passes on 54% of plays

Temple Offense vs Charlotte Defense

TEM offCLT def
EPA per play
34th+0.1695th+0.14
Run EPA
32nd+0.1181st+0.08
Pass EPA
45th+0.22116th+0.28
Success rate
65th41%123rd47%
Explosiveness
88th0.9277th0.93
Line yards
7th3.2196th3.02
Havoc
20th11%133rd11%
Points per trip
111th3.16131st4.64
Third downs
76th40%115th44%

Temple: 60 plays a game (128th most) · passes on 37% of plays

From CollegeFootballData: EPA, success rate, explosiveness and line yards adjusted for the opponents faced; havoc and points per trip as played, garbage time out; third downs from the box score. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Charlotte

  • QBCole Gonzales+0.11 EPA a dropback · 124 dropbacks · 107th of 130 QBs
  • RBKhamani Alexander+0.21 EPA a carry · 43 carries · 58th of 194 RBs
  • WRJaden Barnes+0.30 EPA a target · 44 targets · 295th of 390 WRs
  • WRJaylen Hampton+0.51 EPA a target · 25 targets · 184th of 390 WRs

Temple

  • QBAjani Sheppard+0.39 EPA a dropback · 100 dropbacks · 35th of 130 QBs
  • RBKeveun Mason+0.08 EPA a carry · 80 carries · 125th of 194 RBs
  • WRJayce Freeman+0.16 EPA a target · 26 targets · 341st of 390 WRs
  • WRJovanni Bermudez+0.37 EPA a target · 22 targets · 256th of 390 WRs

Recent Form

Charlotte

  • L10-50at North Texas−8
  • L8-59vs Memphis−33
  • L7-34vs Louisiana−19
  • L21-26at App State+16

Temple

  • L20-34vs UConn−12
  • W17-13at South Florida+19
  • L17-21vs Army+1
  • L48-49at Toledo+15

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added: what a play was worth in points, from the down, distance and field position before it to those after. Per play, adjusted for the opponents faced.
Success rate
Plays that gain 50% of the yards needed on first down, 70% on second, all of them on third and fourth.
Explosiveness
The average EPA of the successful plays: how big the good ones are.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line, per carry.
Havoc
Plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up: the defense's rate made, the offense's allowed.
Points per trip
Points per drive that reaches the opponent's 40.
Players
EPA per play with garbage time out; ranked among FBS players with enough plays (QBs 80 dropbacks, backs 35 carries, receivers 15 targets).