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Washington St at Oregon St

Week 7 preview

Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 3:24 PM ET

Washington St1-5
at
Oregon St4-2

Sat, Oct 17 · 6:00 PM ET · USA Net

Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR

⛅ 67° Partly sunny · rain 20% · gusts 12 mph

The Call How this works

GordStats likes Oregon St by 14.1, the book by 18.5: a lean to Washington St +18.5.

On the total, GordStats says 49 to the book's 52.5: a lean to the Under.

A side against the book is a disagreement, not a tip — how ours have done.

WSU 19%win chanceORST 81%
GordStatsORST by 14.181% to win · WSU 17–ORST 31
DraftKingsORST -18.5O/U 52.5
ESPN FPIORST 89%win chance
Watch score47

Unit vs Unit How this works

  • Oregon St's pass defense (41st) meets Washington St's passing game (138th).
  • Washington St's big-play defense (45th) meets Oregon St's big-play offense (128th).

National rank on each side, 1st the best; the longer bar has the edge.

Washington St Offense vs Oregon St Defense

WSU offORST def
EPA per play
136th-0.0744th+0.06
Run EPA
131st-0.0241st+0.04
Pass EPA
138th-0.0141st+0.14
Success rate
137th32%37th40%
Explosiveness
18th0.9623rd0.91
Line yards
122nd2.7761st2.93
Havoc
136th20%46th17%
Points per trip
115th3.0481st3.56
Third downs
134th27%75th38%

Washington St: 62 plays a game (115th most) · passes on 52% of plays

Oregon St Offense vs Washington St Defense

ORST offWSU def
EPA per play
13th+0.2150th+0.07
Run EPA
65th+0.0745th+0.05
Pass EPA
13th+0.3245th+0.14
Success rate
13th48%79th42%
Explosiveness
128th0.9045th0.92
Line yards
24th3.0969th2.96
Havoc
21st11%106th14%
Points per trip
11th4.9445th3.05
Third downs
26th48%71st37%

Oregon St: 73 plays a game (21st most) · passes on 65% of plays

From CollegeFootballData: EPA, success rate, explosiveness and line yards adjusted for the opponents faced; havoc and points per trip as played, garbage time out; third downs from the box score. Every team: Team Stats.

Players to Watch

Washington St

  • QBCaden Pinnick-0.07 EPA a dropback · 183 dropbacks · 129th of 130 QBs
  • RBKirby Vorhees+0.09 EPA a carry · 47 carries · 122nd of 194 RBs
  • WRBranden Ganashamoorthy+0.17 EPA a target · 34 targets · 340th of 390 WRs
  • WRDarrius Clemons+0.54 EPA a target · 28 targets · 169th of 390 WRs

Oregon St

  • QBBraden Atkinson+0.51 EPA a dropback · 225 dropbacks · 16th of 130 QBs
  • RBAJ Newberry+0.35 EPA a carry · 50 carries · 13th of 194 RBs
  • WRJesse Legree+1.18 EPA a target · 48 targets · 5th of 390 WRs
  • TEEric Olsen+0.59 EPA a target · 32 targets · 43rd of 114 TEs

Recent Form

Washington St

  • L16-17at Utah State+1
  • L6-26vs Fresno St−26
  • L24-34vs Arizona−7
  • W48-7vs Duquesne+3

Oregon St

  • W66-14vs San Diego St+42
  • W56-26at Colorado St+23
  • W33-7at UTEP+20
  • W52-17vs Montana+6

The last column is the margin against our line before kickoff: + beat it, − fell short.

What These Numbers Mean
EPA
Expected points added: what a play was worth in points, from the down, distance and field position before it to those after. Per play, adjusted for the opponents faced.
Success rate
Plays that gain 50% of the yards needed on first down, 70% on second, all of them on third and fourth.
Explosiveness
The average EPA of the successful plays: how big the good ones are.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line, per carry.
Havoc
Plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up: the defense's rate made, the offense's allowed.
Points per trip
Points per drive that reaches the opponent's 40.
Players
EPA per play with garbage time out; ranked among FBS players with enough plays (QBs 80 dropbacks, backs 35 carries, receivers 15 targets).