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Oregon St
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
4–2 · 50th of 138
Rated +5.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.3–3.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.4–4.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2113th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0644th of 138
Success rate47.6%13th of 138
Success allowed39.8%37th of 138
Explosiveness0.90128th of 138
Defensive havoc17.1%46th of 138
3rd down47.9%26th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.6728th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Houston | Sep 5 | L 20–33 | -18.0 | — |
2 vs Texas Tech | Sep 12 | L 24–35 | -25.2 | — |
3 vs Montana | Sep 19 | W 52–17 | +29.1 | — |
4 at UTEP | Sep 26 | W 33–7 | +5.6 | — |
5 at Colorado St | Oct 3 | W 56–26 | +7.1 | — |
6 vs San Diego St | Oct 10 | W 66–14 | +9.9 | — |
7 vs Washington St | Oct 17 | proj 31–17 | +14.1 | 81% |
9 at Fresno St | Oct 31 | proj 29–24 | +4.6 | 61% |
10 vs Texas St | Nov 7 | proj 36–29 | +7.5 | 68% |
11 at Boise St | Nov 14 | proj 26–32 | -5.5 | 37% |
12 vs Utah State | Nov 21 | proj 33–19 | +14.7 | 82% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.