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Boise St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 39th of 138
Rated +8.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.0–2.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.9–2.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.281st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0853rd of 138
Success rate46.1%24th of 138
Success allowed40.9%60th of 138
Explosiveness0.9438th of 138
Defensive havoc18.2%31st of 138
3rd down50.0%19th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.5037th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Oregon | Sep 5 | L 27–34 | -21.2 | — |
2 vs Memphis | Sep 12 | W 38–20 | +6.1 | — |
3 vs South Dakota | Sep 19 | W 38–24 | +45.6 | — |
4 at W Michigan | Sep 26 | W 32–7 | +3.9 | — |
5 vs Utah State | Oct 3 | W 37–18 | +16.7 | — |
6 at Fresno St | Oct 10 | W 38–31 | +8.3 | — |
8 at Washington St | Oct 24 | proj 30–19 | +10.9 | 75% |
9 vs Texas St | Oct 31 | proj 38–27 | +10.1 | 74% |
10 at Colorado St | Nov 7 | proj 43–22 | +21.2 | 91% |
11 vs Oregon St | Nov 14 | proj 32–26 | +5.5 | 63% |
12 vs San Diego St | Nov 21 | proj 37–15 | +21.9 | 92% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.