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San Diego St
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
2–4 · 107th of 138
Rated -11.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -2.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.9–7.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.0–8.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.05134th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1177th of 138
Success rate34.3%133rd of 138
Success allowed44.9%108th of 138
Explosiveness0.9295th of 138
Defensive havoc12.0%128th of 138
3rd down26.9%133rd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.3393rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Portland St | Sep 5 | W 53–20 | +34.4 | — |
2 at UCLA | Sep 12 | L 10–28 | -6.7 | — |
3 vs James Madison | Sep 19 | L 13–26 | -13.2 | — |
4 at Toledo | Sep 26 | L 16–41 | -8.1 | — |
5 vs Texas St | Oct 3 | W 31–29 | -4.2 | — |
6 at Oregon St | Oct 10 | L 14–66 | -9.9 | — |
7 vs Fresno St | Oct 17 | proj 21–27 | -6.1 | 35% |
8 at Colorado St | Oct 24 | proj 31–29 | +2.2 | 56% |
9 vs Washington St | Oct 31 | proj 21–23 | -2.3 | 44% |
11 vs Utah State | Nov 14 | proj 23–24 | -1.7 | 46% |
12 at Boise St | Nov 21 | proj 15–37 | -21.9 | 8% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.