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UCLA
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–0 · 16th of 138
Rated +15.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 10.2–1.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.6–2.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1731st of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.061st of 138
Success rate46.0%26th of 138
Success allowed35.9%9th of 138
Explosiveness0.9525th of 138
Defensive havoc21.0%12th of 138
3rd down43.5%51st of 138
Turnover margin/g+2.402nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at California | Sep 5 | W 45–24 | -5.2 | — |
2 vs San Diego St | Sep 12 | W 28–10 | +6.7 | — |
3 vs Purdue | Sep 19 | W 52–38 | +16.1 | — |
4 at Maryland | Sep 26 | W 54–3 | -4.7 | — |
6 at Oregon | Oct 10 | W 17–15 | -10.2 | — |
7 vs Wisconsin | Oct 17 | proj 28–18 | +10.5 | 75% |
8 vs Michigan St | Oct 24 | proj 34–17 | +16.3 | 85% |
9 vs Nevada | Oct 31 | proj 40–10 | +30.0 | 97% |
10 at Minnesota | Nov 7 | proj 30–19 | +11.1 | 76% |
11 vs Illinois | Nov 13 | proj 33–22 | +11.1 | 76% |
12 at Michigan | Nov 21 | proj 24–23 | +1.5 | 54% |
13 vs USC | Nov 28 | proj 32–27 | +5.1 | 63% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.