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Minnesota
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 66th of 138
Rated +1.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.3–6.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.1–6.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.01123rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0961st of 138
Success rate38.9%106th of 138
Success allowed41.9%71st of 138
Explosiveness0.91121st of 138
Defensive havoc21.5%7th of 138
3rd down37.4%91st of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1766th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs E Illinois | Sep 3 | W 59–7 | +36.1 | — |
2 vs Mississippi St | Sep 12 | L 13–38 | +0.5 | — |
3 vs Akron | Sep 19 | W 41–7 | +19.9 | — |
4 at Washington | Sep 26 | W 27–24 | -8.3 | — |
5 vs Michigan | Oct 3 | W 20–14 | -4.9 | — |
6 at Purdue | Oct 10 | L 13–41 | +4.2 | — |
8 vs Iowa | Oct 24 | proj 16–29 | -13.3 | 20% |
9 at Indiana | Oct 31 | proj 11–38 | -27.1 | 4% |
10 vs UCLA | Nov 7 | proj 19–30 | -11.1 | 24% |
11 at Penn State | Nov 14 | proj 19–30 | -11.1 | 24% |
12 vs Northwestern | Nov 21 | proj 20–27 | -6.8 | 33% |
13 at Wisconsin | Nov 27 | proj 17–26 | -9.3 | 28% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.