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Wisconsin
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 40th of 138
Rated +8.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -6.7 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.7–4.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.4–3.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1447th of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.034th of 138
Success rate41.8%61st of 138
Success allowed34.6%6th of 138
Explosiveness0.9710th of 138
Defensive havoc15.7%73rd of 138
3rd down44.1%47th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.4097th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Notre Dame | Sep 6 | L 13–41 | -25.2 | — |
2 vs W Illinois | Sep 12 | W 36–9 | +37.7 | — |
3 vs E Michigan | Sep 19 | W 54–10 | +20.6 | — |
4 at Penn State | Sep 26 | W 24–20 | -19.5 | — |
5 vs Michigan St | Oct 3 | W 31–3 | +6.7 | — |
7 at UCLA | Oct 17 | proj 18–28 | -10.5 | 25% |
8 vs USC | Oct 24 | proj 24–27 | -2.5 | 44% |
9 at Iowa | Oct 31 | proj 14–27 | -12.7 | 21% |
10 vs Rutgers | Nov 7 | proj 33–17 | +16.2 | 85% |
11 at Maryland | Nov 14 | proj 28–20 | +7.2 | 68% |
12 at Purdue | Nov 21 | proj 26–23 | +3.3 | 58% |
13 vs Minnesota | Nov 27 | proj 26–17 | +9.3 | 72% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.