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Iowa
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 13th of 138
Rated +17.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -4.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.4–2.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.8–3.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0976th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0751st of 138
Success rate41.7%62nd of 138
Success allowed36.9%17th of 138
Explosiveness0.9450th of 138
Defensive havoc16.5%59th of 138
3rd down39.4%79th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3344th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs N Illinois | Sep 5 | W 40–0 | +31.3 | — |
2 vs Iowa State | Sep 12 | W 16–13 | +13.5 | — |
3 vs Northern Iowa | Sep 19 | W 55–0 | +50.8 | — |
4 at Michigan | Sep 26 | W 20–19 | -1.2 | — |
5 vs Ohio State | Oct 3 | L 14–31 | -6.2 | — |
6 at Washington | Oct 9 | W 41–24 | +5.0 | — |
8 at Minnesota | Oct 24 | proj 29–16 | +13.3 | 80% |
9 vs Wisconsin | Oct 31 | proj 27–14 | +12.7 | 79% |
10 at Northwestern | Nov 7 | proj 24–21 | +3.7 | 59% |
11 vs Purdue | Nov 14 | proj 35–16 | +18.9 | 88% |
12 at Illinois | Nov 21 | proj 29–21 | +7.6 | 68% |
13 vs Nebraska | Nov 27 | proj 27–21 | +6.8 | 67% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.