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Washington
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

3–3 · 55th of 138
Rated +4.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.9–7.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.6–7.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0884th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1279th of 138
Success rate40.2%88th of 138
Success allowed43.5%91st of 138
Explosiveness0.9298th of 138
Defensive havoc17.1%48th of 138
3rd down31.2%125th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.8320th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 6 | W 24–10 | +14.0 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 16–14 | +25.7 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | W 48–16 | +45.9 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | L 24–27 | +8.3 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | L 21–25 | -10.2 | — |
| 6 | Oct 9 | L 24–41 | -5.0 | — |
| 7 | Oct 16 | proj 27–27 | -0.2 | 49% |
| 9 | Oct 31 | proj 19–32 | -12.3 | 22% |
| 10 | Nov 7 | proj 24–26 | -2.4 | 44% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 24–25 | -0.5 | 49% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 16–34 | -18.4 | 12% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 17–37 | -19.3 | 11% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.