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Utah State
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
2–4 · 92nd of 138
Rated -6.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.2–6.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.1–8.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.00126th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0640th of 138
Success rate34.6%132nd of 138
Success allowed40.3%48th of 138
Explosiveness0.9522nd of 138
Defensive havoc14.1%102nd of 138
3rd down37.5%89th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.83129th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Idaho St | Sep 5 | L 17–29 | +33.0 | — |
2 at Washington | Sep 12 | L 14–16 | -25.7 | — |
3 at Utah | Sep 19 | L 0–33 | -30.5 | — |
4 vs Troy | Sep 26 | W 21–10 | +3.7 | — |
5 at Boise St | Oct 3 | L 18–37 | -16.7 | — |
6 vs Washington St | Oct 9 | W 17–16 | +2.1 | — |
8 at Texas St | Oct 24 | proj 24–35 | -10.0 | 26% |
9 vs Colorado St | Oct 31 | proj 36–23 | +12.6 | 79% |
10 vs Fresno St | Nov 7 | proj 23–24 | -1.5 | 46% |
11 at San Diego St | Nov 14 | proj 24–23 | +1.7 | 54% |
12 at Oregon St | Nov 21 | proj 19–33 | -14.7 | 18% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.