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Texas St
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–3 · 67th of 138
Rated +0.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +9.7 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.7–5.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.3–5.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1537th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.16113th of 138
Success rate47.6%14th of 138
Success allowed45.6%115th of 138
Explosiveness0.91109th of 138
Defensive havoc14.6%93rd of 138
3rd down55.4%4th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.83130th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Texas | Sep 5 | L 7–59 | -21.8 | — |
2 vs UTSA | Sep 12 | L 26–31 | -1.9 | — |
3 vs North Texas | Sep 19 | W 49–35 | -12.6 | — |
4 vs Incarnate Word | Sep 26 | W 63–10 | +33.6 | — |
5 at San Diego St | Oct 3 | L 29–31 | +4.2 | — |
7 vs Colorado St | Oct 15 | W 66–27 | +15.0 | — |
8 vs Utah State | Oct 24 | proj 35–24 | +10.0 | 74% |
9 at Boise St | Oct 31 | proj 27–38 | -10.1 | 26% |
10 at Oregon St | Nov 7 | proj 29–36 | -7.5 | 32% |
11 vs Fresno St | Nov 14 | proj 33–27 | +5.7 | 64% |
12 vs Washington St | Nov 21 | proj 32–23 | +9.5 | 73% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.