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Texas
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 7th of 138
Rated +22.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.9–3.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.7–2.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1160th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0010th of 138
Success rate44.4%40th of 138
Success allowed34.6%5th of 138
Explosiveness0.90131st of 138
Defensive havoc21.2%11th of 138
3rd down44.6%44th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.4099th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Texas St | Sep 5 | W 59–7 | +21.8 | — |
2 vs Ohio State | Sep 12 | W 24–23 | -2.6 | — |
3 vs UTSA | Sep 19 | W 30–6 | +26.7 | — |
4 at Tennessee | Sep 26 | W 20–17 | +1.6 | — |
6 vs Oklahoma | Oct 10 | L 24–27 | +6.4 | — |
7 vs Florida | Oct 17 | proj 34–20 | +13.5 | 80% |
8 vs Ole Miss | Oct 24 | proj 31–24 | +6.6 | 66% |
9 vs Mississippi St | Oct 31 | proj 35–22 | +12.9 | 79% |
10 at Missouri | Nov 7 | proj 26–22 | +4.2 | 60% |
11 at LSU | Nov 14 | proj 24–25 | -0.8 | 48% |
12 vs Arkansas | Nov 21 | proj 36–13 | +23.3 | 93% |
13 at Texas A&M | Nov 27 | proj 27–21 | +6.1 | 65% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.